I Told You So . . . Back In March

Sep 25, 2020 | CDC, Commie Virus, COVID-19, Infected Fatality Ratio | 16 comments

And here you have it, folks. The biggest “I TOLD YOU SO” in my 10-year history writing for this Page. Straight from the CDC’s own “Current Best Estimate” of COVID-19’s “Infection Fatality Ratio”:

0-19 years: 0.00003 = 99.997% survivability

20-49 years: 0.0002 = 99.98% survivability

50-69 years: 0.005 = 99.5% survivability

70+ years: 0.054 = 94.6 survivability

Add in “natural immunity” and “cross-immunity,” and the final total population survivability rate is even much greater.

And don’t EVEN say “the number is this low only because of closures, masks, and social distancing.” The “IFR” has NOTHING to do with those precautionary measures. These figures are based on those who GOT INFECTED! Not those who are cowering away at home with a 20-year supply of sanitizers and disinfectants, (and toilet paper), or wearing hazmat suits to the grocery store.

“But . . . but . . . over 200,000 Americans have already died from this disease!”

I’ve got news for you: Once the truth behind the difference between those who’ve died “of” and those who’ve died “with” COVID-19 is fully revealed, your blood is going to boil. Remember, by the CDC’s own published data, 94% of those deaths were accompanied by an average of “2.6 additional comorbidities” per patient. This unresolved discrepancy in the data is going to additionally lower the final IFR to typical seasonal flu rates.

Here’s the link to the included screenshot, from the CDC website:

COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios

Congratulations, America. You bought the lie . . . hook, line, and sinker. You closed down our economy and destroyed lives for a typically bad flu season. (I’ve said before that it really blows to have another flu running at the same time as our other seasonal bugs, but it looks like that’s what we got.) The next time your governor says they are only following “the science and the data,” they are LYING. What they have done is create an epidemic in cases of depression, anxiety, suicides, intra-family violence, and child abuse.

Take off your masks, reopen your schools and businesses to 100% capacity, protect the elderly and most at-risk, then get on with your life!

#CommieVirus2020

#ReOpenAmericaNow

#UnMaskTheAgenda

16 Comments

owl1955 on September 26, 2020 at 3:51 am

You had me back in March.
Reply
- Steve Baker on September 26, 2020 at 9:33 pm
  
  🙂
  Reply
  - Herb on October 6, 2020 at 6:37 pm
    
    And there you have it!
    Reply
Mike on September 26, 2020 at 6:59 am

I wrote a long rant this morning to the same affect as this about the most recent numbers in Minnesota. The DoH down graded the state because the government/DoH says our numbers are increasing. If they would tell the whole story, rather than just part of it, people would be able to see that our numbers in this state are just slightly worse than the seasonal flu. I also agree with you about the ‘shut downs’ – just a power grab by the state government.
Reply
- Steve Baker on September 26, 2020 at 9:33 pm
  
  truth!
  Reply
Anonymous on September 26, 2020 at 4:27 pm

Biggest scam job ever perpetrated.
Reply
- Steve Baker on September 26, 2020 at 9:34 pm
  
  i’m beginning to believe so, myself.
  Reply
Susan Bowen on September 27, 2020 at 12:22 pm

It never affected me I live on a farm, all I did was mask up and spray some alcohol and Lysol not a big deal for me probably needed to do it anyway but what if? Better safe than sorry in my book!
Reply
- Sonny on September 27, 2020 at 3:16 pm
  
  Well, he just told you, that IF shut down the whole 🌎.
  Reply
- Fed Up By Feds on September 28, 2020 at 3:40 pm
  
  That line of thinking cost many people their lives and livelihoods – maybe if the state told you you couldn’t farm you’d understand.
  Reply
daveburton on September 28, 2020 at 10:00 am

Those numbers are “hypotheticals,” not numbers based on actual case data.

Of all known, resolved U.S. Covid-19 cases:
209,453 / (209,453 + 4,560,456)= 4.39% have died.

Another 2,551,434 known cases remain unresolved. If all of them were to recover, then the fatality rate would be:
209,453 / 7,321,343 = 2.86%

Of course, we know they won’t all recover. If the same percentage of them die as with the resolved cases, then the overall case fatality rate will be 4.39%.

The medical community has been getting better at treating Covid-19 patients, and the case fatality rate has been dropping. It was even worse back in March.

If half of all cases have gone undiagnosed (which is probably about right, in the U.S.), and if none of them had died (though we know that some of them did die), then you should halve that case fatality rate: 4.39% / 2 = 2.20%.

That’s probably about the true Covid-19 case fatality rate, in the United States: 2.2%.

It is certainly true that the infection fatality rate is much lower than average for young, healthy people. However, most people are not young and healthy. My guess is that 3/4 of Americans have one or more known risk factors, which increase their vulnerability to COVID-19: overweight, age >60yrs, diabetes, COPD, asthma, or other pulmonary disease, kidney or heart disease, etc. (2/3 of Americans are said to be overweight, and they are disproportionately older.)

Here are FIVE TWEETS I just sent, refuting the often-heard fallacy that Covid-19 is no worse than typical influenza, and comparing the statistics for Covid-19 to those for flu:

1️⃣. https://twitter.com/ncdave4life/status/1310358077384908802

Here are the U.S. Covid-19 statistics:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
(209,446 deaths, so far, + ≈700 more per day)

Here are 9 yrs of CDC flu statistics:
https://sealevel.info/CDC_Influenza_stats_Table1_2010-11_thru_2018-19_as_of_2020-04-04.html
(deaths/year estimated to average 37,462)

Covid death toll is 5.6x worse than flu, so far, and climbing.
https://sealevel.info/CDC_Influenza_stats_Table1_2010-11_thru_2018-19_as_of_2020-04-04_screenshot2.png

2️⃣. https://twitter.com/ncdave4life/status/1310369941560926208

Believe it. It’s MUCH worse than typical flu.
False positives are rare.
The restrictions we’re enduring slowed the spread.
Most people killed by ANY disease have comorbidities; Covid’s typical in that respect.
≈ 2/3 of Americans have ≥1 risk factor, elevating risk from Covid.

3️⃣. https://twitter.com/ncdave4life/status/1310437963852140544

Covid-19 isn’t worse than EVERY flu outbreak. The 1918 Spanish flu killed ≈2% of the entire world’s population, including an estimated 675,000 Americans (population was 27% of current).
But, in the United States, Covid-19 is worse than any OTHER flu outbreak in American history.

4️⃣. https://twitter.com/ncdave4life/status/1310438150913896449

The 2 worst flu pandemics in the last 100 years were 1957 & 1968.

1957 Hong Kong flu killed ≈80,000 Americans; population was 53% of current.

1968 Asian flu killed ≈100,000 Americans; population was 60% of current.

Neither was as bad as Covid-19, even calculated per capita, in the U.S..

5️⃣. https://twitter.com/ncdave4life/status/1310440575590596608

Check out my WND article:
https://www.wnd.com/2020/09/dr-scott-atlas-dead-wrong-handling-covid/

More references (all found with quick google searches):
● https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31201-0/fulltext
● https://www.mphonline.org/worst-pandemics-in-history/
● https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_history_of_the_United_States
Reply
- Steve Baker on September 28, 2020 at 9:36 pm
  
  There are many in your field who disagree with you.
  
  https://www.aier.org/article/open-letter-from-medical-doctors-and-health-professionals-to-all-belgian-authorities-and-all-belgian-media/?fbclid=IwAR11wOMyZrhzNi8jRMZKRFV_YjnKj14eEUgmaAKZhcGj5eKd-0o5LZdRinw
  Reply
- HB Reader on September 29, 2020 at 4:23 am
  
  Pretty sure Scenario 5 is the current best estimate based on actual case data. Pretty sure it says that right on the CDC website too…
  Reply
Anonymous on October 6, 2020 at 10:21 pm

I just got my positive test results. It basically felt like allergies mixed with a mild flu for about 48 hours. It’s nothing to write home about.
Reply
- Steve Baker on October 7, 2020 at 7:42 pm
  
  as seems the case for most.
  Reply
Boyce Cropley on October 20, 2020 at 4:25 am

So I guess they are doing another presidential debate on Monday? I’ll probably catch it on CNN. The last debate was terrible. I hope this one is better.
Reply